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Coal company deep dives, quarterly outlooks, production updates, earnings analysis, and more.
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Taking Stock: Global Thermal Coal
I’ll start out with this first post by taking the temperature of the global thermal coal markets and looking out over the next year or so.

The Gamma Squeeze is On for Coal Stocks
A quick rundown on today’s continued rip in coal stocks and actions I took…

Flurry of Deals Push Met Market Higher
Australian coking coal prices are continuing their upward momentum, driven by some (finally!) robust trading activity and slightly improving market sentiment. The physical market has now seen multiple deals concluded at prices above previous index levels, while futures prices on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) are also moving up in concert…

Coal Stocks Rip, Time to Flip?
A quick rundown of the post-China stimulus rip in coal stocks, and how to think about positioning using some advice from our Substack and Twitter friend Le Shrub…

Thermal Coal Markets Run As Met Retracts
There has been a huge shift in momentum from the met coal side to the thermal coal side over the last few weeks as we reported in our $CEIX earnings preview last week. And having just returned from the West Virginia Coal Association’s Annual Meeting at the Greenbrier, I can confirm that attitudes are cautiously optimistic about a solid back half of the year…

Earnings Preview – CEIX
We walk through calibrating our CEIX model buildup and our projections for Q2…

Q2 Earnings Preview – AMR
In this post, we take a look through our current projections for AMR’s Q2 earnings and the process of how we build them up…

Q2 Earnings Preview – HCC
A walk through our Q2 estimates for HCC relative to expectations…

Q2 Earnings Preview – BTU
A look through our estimates for Q2 earnings…
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