
China’s Coal-Fired Future
It’s important to think about Chinese policy and ask ourselves why their actions don’t quite line up with their rhetoric.

It’s important to think about Chinese policy and ask ourselves why their actions don’t quite line up with their rhetoric.

Metallurgical coal markets continue to rally. Front-month (Oct ‘23) is at $362/mt, whereas long-term prices are currently in the $280’s:

China’s coal production growth is anticipated to slow in 2023 due to increased safety checks following a surge in fatal coal mine accidents.

Atlantic met coal market is experiencing notable price increases, particularly for Premium High Volatile Coking Coal (HCC).

Glencore & Seriti to potentially cut jobs in South Africa due to challenges faced by Transnet, in transporting coal.

A coal mine accident in Guizhou province, China, claimed 16 lives after a conveyor belt caught fire, trapping workers underground.

India’s plans to add 25-30 GW of thermal power on top of 49 GW already under construction, resulting in 40% more coal burn.

Chevron hasn’t reached an agreement with unions regarding strike action at the Gorgon and Wheatstone LNG facilities.

Why is met rallying? Supply has become incrementally tighter and demand coming out of the summer doldrums is picking up again.

Haul truck operations at Peak Downs might be suspended for two more weeks after two trucks slid over 100 meters during an overnight shift.

Low water levels in the Mississippi River led to a 57% drop in Gulf Coast coal shipments, only six ships left in the week ending Sept. 10.

The EIA has raised its 2023 total coal production outlook to 583 million short tons, a slight increase from August’s estimate.