The Coal Trader

Tag: AMR

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Metallurgical Comps

I spent some time updating metallurgical producer financial models today, so this will be a chart heavy post.

Alpha & Warrior Q3 Results

Alpha reported net income of $6.65 per share, surpassing analysts’ estimates but that’s mainly due to the buybacks making less shares.

Coal Markets Coal News

Alpha & Warrior Pre-Earnings Setup

Earnings schedule: Warrior earnings later today following the market close at 4:30 pm ET. Alpha earnings tomorrow morning, before the bell.

Alpha News Update

Alpha announced preliminary sales volumes and realizations for Q3 2023, and revised full year 2023 guidance.

Met Producer Forecasts

Now that I’ve wrapped up the forecasts for the US met producers, I figured I would share it here so that we can compare and contrast.

Coal Mining Arch Resource Longwall Coal Mine

US Met Coal Margin Comparisons

US metallurgical producers comparison of costs and profit margins to get a sense of their inherent competitive advantages.

Alpha vs Warrior (& AMR’s outlook)

The market had a positive reaction to Alpha’s earnings, up 8% on the day in sharp contract to Warrior’s earnings reaction, which was down 11%.

Q2 2023 MSHA Update

With most of the Q2 2023 MSHA coal production numbers in, I think its time to look under the hood and see what’s going on.