
Q2 2023 MSHA Update
With most of the Q2 2023 MSHA coal production numbers in, I think its time to look under the hood and see what’s going on.

With most of the Q2 2023 MSHA coal production numbers in, I think its time to look under the hood and see what’s going on.

Herewith a few points really quick to give you something to chew on in preparation for earnings season in regards to METC, ARCH & BTU.



Thermal coal markets have high inventories and are experiencing increased demand during the summer cooling season in the northern hemisphere.

Let’s discuss Alpa (AMR) vs Arch (ARCH) and Warrior Met (HCC)

With Australian PLV trading at a premium to CFR China, the arbitrage for Australian coal into China remains firmly closed.

European coal price have found a footing in the $110-120/mt range as natural gas supply sees uncertainty in absence of Russian flows.

I keep harping on TTF as the fulcrum for energy markets (coal and natgas), and the price has moved up over 65% from its lows on June 2

This ongoing saga continues, and from my vantage Glencore is strategically out maneuvering Teck’s management.

Coal Producer Price Action – A Quick Note: Coal producers continue to bounce as I write this around noon on Wednesday.

Market Updates: Steel sector has moved past the hype-cycle of a Chinese reopen boom and is settling into a new reality.