Coal Stocks Rip, Time to Flip?
September 24, 2024
A quick rundown of the post-China stimulus rip in coal stocks, and how to think about positioning using some advice from our Substack and Twitter friend Le Shrub…
Category: Updates
Thermal Coal Markets Run As Met Retracts
August 13, 2024
There has been a huge shift in momentum from the met coal side to the thermal coal side over the last few weeks as we reported in our $CEIX earnings preview last week. And having just returned from the West Virginia Coal Association’s Annual Meeting at the Greenbrier, I can confirm that attitudes are cautiously optimistic about a solid back half of the year…
Earnings Preview – CEIX
August 7, 2024
We walk through calibrating our CEIX model buildup and our projections for Q2…
Q2 Earnings Preview – AMR
August 5, 2024
In this post, we take a look through our current projections for AMR’s Q2 earnings and the process of how we build them up…
Q2 Earnings Preview – HCC
July 31, 2024
A walk through our Q2 estimates for HCC relative to expectations…
Q2 Earnings Preview – ARCH
July 24, 2024
First up for the US coal boys on Q2 earnings is ARCH -0.85%↓ who reports tomorrow (7/25/24) and will likely set the tone that the rest of the industry will have to meet or improve upon…
Muted Met Market Reaction From Longview Mine Fire
July 3, 2024
In the wake of the fire at Allegheny Met Coal’s Longview Mine, we take a look at what the possible market effects might be…
Grosvenor Mine Fire Will Tighten Met Coal Markets
June 30, 2024
Anglo’s Grosvenor Coal Mine in Queensland, Australia was evacuated Saturday morning after a methane ignition caused a fire which engulfed the operation. Here, we take a look at possible effects on met coal markets…
Technical Analysis Series – BTU
June 27, 2024
For our third installment in the series here, I thought it best to tackle Peabody Energy BTU -1.91%↓. That’s not necessarily because it’s an interesting risk-reward at this point in the market cycle. Rather, it’s simply because I get more questions on it than any other coal stock. Well, that and it has had the most predictable trading range of the entire sector…
Technical Analysis Series – HCC
June 24, 2024
I don’t care for technical analysis much, but sometimes it is the best framework on which to build trade ideas. We examine that here, using HCC as an example…
Technical Analysis Series – AMR
June 21, 2024
I don’t care for technical analysis much, but sometimes it is the best framework on which to build trade ideas. We examine that here, using AMR as an example…