
Warrior Post-Earnings Discussion
Things I got wrong… Erroneous items I failed to anticipate… Going forward and the investment thesis.

Things I got wrong… Erroneous items I failed to anticipate… Going forward and the investment thesis.

HCC is set to release earnings tomorrow (Aug. 2) after the bell.

ARLP reported a net income of $169.8 million, or $1.30 per unit in Q2 2023, up from $163.5 million and $1.23 per unit in Q2 2022.

In terms of Chinese economic growth and steel demand, here’s what we know.

BTU, ARCH & TECK Earnings

I had lunch with a met producer sales guy yesterday and while discussing the upcoming domestic sales negotiating season, he mentioned that met buyers (North American end-users) seemingly “have all the power.”

Herewith a few points really quick to give you something to chew on in preparation for earnings season in regards to METC, ARCH & BTU.


Let’s discuss Alpa (AMR) vs Arch (ARCH) and Warrior Met (HCC)

With Australian PLV trading at a premium to CFR China, the arbitrage for Australian coal into China remains firmly closed.

This ongoing saga continues, and from my vantage Glencore is strategically out maneuvering Teck’s management.

Coal Producer Price Action – A Quick Note: Coal producers continue to bounce as I write this around noon on Wednesday.